Track the leading reviews --
http://www.metacritic.com/music/artists/wilsonbrian/thatluckyoldsunNot to brag, but on August 1st, I wrote:
"The overall critical response will definitely be more tempered [than Smile] -- I foresee a Metacritic score in the low 70s. (For reference, Smile received an average of 97% -- the site's all-time high score -- and GIOMH averaged 55.)"